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My brother-in-law, a Realtor just outside Orlando in Florida, mentioned in a conversation just a little while ago that the market is now booming with regards to buyers. Sales for single family homes are up 68% (yes, sixty eight). Multiple offers on homes are not unusual at all, good for sellers and perhaps tough to swallow for buyers. Wow, what a change from just a few months ago!
If you are in a good spot financially now would be a good time to start thinking about moving into the market. I hear many folks who are "waiting for the bottom." The issue here is that, as is the case with stocks, no one knows the bottom until the market has changed. At this point it's too late...sellers mentality changes very quickly and the need to "deal" can go away very quickly.
Here is an article I found that pertains to the change that is going on...enjoy! Give a call if you have questions, or I can assist in any way
-David
Real Estate Outlook: Sales Rising?
by Kenneth R. Harney
Pushed by a powerful combination of historically-low fixed mortgage rates, an $8,000 tax credit, and affordable prices, sales of existing homes jumped 5 percent in February compared with the same month last year.
The biggest gains came in the Northeast, where sales were up by nearly 16 percent, according to the National Association of Realtors. Home sales in the South came in 6 percent higher for the month; they were up by nearly 3 percent in the Western states and one percent in the Midwest.
Nationally, sales of condos rose faster than detached single family dwellings – 11.4 percent versus 4.4 percent.
Underlying the improving sales picture were continuing declines in median sales prices. Dr. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, noted that the downward trend in median prices – off 15 percent for the year – is being driven by high rates of distressed sales in California, Florida, Nevada and parts of the Midwest.
Though sales nationwide rose by just five percent last month, in some areas hard-hit by the boom and bust cycle, the increases in sales were far more impressive.
For example, in south Florida, sales were almost off the charts – up 68 percent for detached houses and up 71 percent for condos.
Charles Richardson, vice president for Coldwell-Banker in Dade County, told the Miami Herald that "this is the sharpest (spike in sales) we’ve seen year-over-year. It’s going to accelerate our recovery. Buyers are starting to think that prices are where they should be and that the market is near a bottom." That may be a little optimistic, but any signs of a bottom in Florida – one of the worst hit states in the U.S. – is potentially important news elsewhere.
Meanwhile, mortgage rates continue on their sharp downward track, hitting six-decade lows last week. Fixed rate thirty year loans plunged to an average 4.6 percent from 4.9 percent with one point, while 15-year rates sunk below four and a half percent according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
For potentially hundreds of thousands of consumers waiting for the cyclical low point in the financing cycle, it looks like we’re either there or pretty close, whether for buying a house or refinancing your current loan.
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Thursday, March 26, 2009
52 Year low!!!
Mortgage rates at 52-year low
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dips to 5.19%, according to a report from Bankrate.com, the lowest rate since 1956.
By Catherine Clifford, CNNMoney.com staff writer
Last Updated: March 26, 2009: 2:13 PM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Home mortgage rates dropped to a 52-year low this week, according to a report released Thursday, in the wake of the government's announcement that it will buy more than $1 trillion in debt.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.19% this week, down from 5.29% in the week prior, according to Bankrate.com's weekly national survey.
The previous low was 5.28%, hit this January and in June 2003; the last time rates dipped lower than 5.19% was in 1956, according to Bankrate.com.
To put the plunge in mortgage rates into perspective, 30-year fixed home mortgage rates averaged 6.77% in late October. At that time, a $200,000 home loan would have meant a monthly payment of $1,299.86. Now, with the mortgage rates down at 5.19%, the monthly payment for the same loan would be $1,096.99. That works out to a savings of more than $200 per month.
Meanwhile, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 4.80% from 4.86% in the the prior week. The 15-year fixed mortgage rate carried an average of 0.49 points.
The government announced last week that it would be buying more than $1 trillion in debt in order to increase liquidity and improve credit conditions. With the key lending rate already at a range of 0% to 0.25%, the Federal Open Market Committee - the policymaking committee of the Fed that sets interest rates - turned to less traditional means to encourage lending.
The Federal Reserve said that it would buy an additional $750 billion in mortgage-backed securities and $300 billion of long-term Treasurys. The so called "quantitative easing" policy essentially increases the money supply and is designed to push interest rates down, making borrowing cheaper.
Not much further to drop: Analysts say that while mortgage rates could edge a smidgen lower, they won't make any more dramatic plunges.
"At this point, what we are going to see is mortgage rates fluctuate at these levels," said Brian Bethune, chief financial analyst at IHS Global Insight. "I don't see them dropping significantly from where they are now."
Mortgage rates move in relation to the yield on the 10-year government bond. While there is not a direct correlation, they do move in the same direction. Bethune said that there are two factors that will prevent Treasury yields, and by extension mortgage rates, from dropping much further.
"One is the huge Treasury borrowing requirements," he said. As the government looks to fund its massive stimulus spending programs, it has had to issue a record amount of debt. The increased supply keeps a lid on the price of bonds and stabilizes yields.
"In addition, as we get closer to perceptions of a trough in the economy, the yields will tend to see upward pressure," said Bethune. Uncle Sam's debt is considered one of the safest places for investors to keep their cash. During times of market uncertainty, demand surges, the prices increase, and yields fall. But as market sentiment begins to believe the economy could be headed for recovery, demand for Treasurys will lessen, lifting yields.
Surge in refinance: The dramatic drop in mortgage rates has motivated home owners to refinance in great numbers, but the drop in mortgage rates has not spurred as large an increase in new home purchases, said Mike Larson, real estate analyst at Weiss Research.
"We are still not seeing a huge impact on home buying," he said. "All else being equal, it will help the market," said Larson. "But it is not the huge impact you are seeing on the refinance side."
Bankrate.com compiles national averages every Wednesday by surveying the top 10 banks and thrifts in the top 10 housing markets.
First Published: March 26, 2009: 12:25 PM ET
Find mortgage rates in your area
Find this article at: http://money.cnn.com/2009/03/26/real_estate/mortgage_rates/index.htm
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dips to 5.19%, according to a report from Bankrate.com, the lowest rate since 1956.
By Catherine Clifford, CNNMoney.com staff writer
Last Updated: March 26, 2009: 2:13 PM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Home mortgage rates dropped to a 52-year low this week, according to a report released Thursday, in the wake of the government's announcement that it will buy more than $1 trillion in debt.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.19% this week, down from 5.29% in the week prior, according to Bankrate.com's weekly national survey.
The previous low was 5.28%, hit this January and in June 2003; the last time rates dipped lower than 5.19% was in 1956, according to Bankrate.com.
To put the plunge in mortgage rates into perspective, 30-year fixed home mortgage rates averaged 6.77% in late October. At that time, a $200,000 home loan would have meant a monthly payment of $1,299.86. Now, with the mortgage rates down at 5.19%, the monthly payment for the same loan would be $1,096.99. That works out to a savings of more than $200 per month.
Meanwhile, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 4.80% from 4.86% in the the prior week. The 15-year fixed mortgage rate carried an average of 0.49 points.
The government announced last week that it would be buying more than $1 trillion in debt in order to increase liquidity and improve credit conditions. With the key lending rate already at a range of 0% to 0.25%, the Federal Open Market Committee - the policymaking committee of the Fed that sets interest rates - turned to less traditional means to encourage lending.
The Federal Reserve said that it would buy an additional $750 billion in mortgage-backed securities and $300 billion of long-term Treasurys. The so called "quantitative easing" policy essentially increases the money supply and is designed to push interest rates down, making borrowing cheaper.
Not much further to drop: Analysts say that while mortgage rates could edge a smidgen lower, they won't make any more dramatic plunges.
"At this point, what we are going to see is mortgage rates fluctuate at these levels," said Brian Bethune, chief financial analyst at IHS Global Insight. "I don't see them dropping significantly from where they are now."
Mortgage rates move in relation to the yield on the 10-year government bond. While there is not a direct correlation, they do move in the same direction. Bethune said that there are two factors that will prevent Treasury yields, and by extension mortgage rates, from dropping much further.
"One is the huge Treasury borrowing requirements," he said. As the government looks to fund its massive stimulus spending programs, it has had to issue a record amount of debt. The increased supply keeps a lid on the price of bonds and stabilizes yields.
"In addition, as we get closer to perceptions of a trough in the economy, the yields will tend to see upward pressure," said Bethune. Uncle Sam's debt is considered one of the safest places for investors to keep their cash. During times of market uncertainty, demand surges, the prices increase, and yields fall. But as market sentiment begins to believe the economy could be headed for recovery, demand for Treasurys will lessen, lifting yields.
Surge in refinance: The dramatic drop in mortgage rates has motivated home owners to refinance in great numbers, but the drop in mortgage rates has not spurred as large an increase in new home purchases, said Mike Larson, real estate analyst at Weiss Research.
"We are still not seeing a huge impact on home buying," he said. "All else being equal, it will help the market," said Larson. "But it is not the huge impact you are seeing on the refinance side."
Bankrate.com compiles national averages every Wednesday by surveying the top 10 banks and thrifts in the top 10 housing markets.
First Published: March 26, 2009: 12:25 PM ET
Find mortgage rates in your area
Find this article at: http://money.cnn.com/2009/03/26/real_estate/mortgage_rates/index.htm
Maple Syrup time
So the days are getting warmer, and the forecast for the weekend is in the high 50's...what to do? For all of you out there with kids (or not) searching for something fun and free to do this weekend...Our state's Maple Syrup Open House is a great option. Most of our beloved sugar houses open their doors to the public and welcome us in to see how that Maple sap becomes Maple Syrup, candy, sugar on snow (my favorite), and a whole host of other yummy treats. Of course you can stock up on the sweet stuff that you will need for pancakes, sundaes, etc. Check out some of the Sugar Houses that are included HERE. Speaking of open houses...the Real Estate open house season is upon us. A great place to find out where they are is www.vermontopenhouses.com. Get out there and enjoy Vermont! As always, just call if you have any questions!
Sincerely,
David
Sincerely,
David
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Rates are great!
For those of you who have not refinanced in a while, you may want to consider it... Mortgage interest rates are in the 4.875 % range- historically low for anyone who hasn't heard or been following. I have many friends, family, and clients who are saving hundreds and hundreds of dollars a month now that they refinanced. I have a great working relationship with several excellent local lenders and would be happy to refer you to one or more...just call and ask me!
If you are thinking of buying, but are on the fence, I would be happy to run the numbers for you. One thing to make sure to remember when deciding whether to continue to rent is that when you have a mortgage, all of the interest is deductible at tax time. In the early years of the loan period much of the payment is in fact interest, making the savings quite large. Again, happy to explain in more detail if you would like.
Here is a little blurb from a website called HousingPredictor.com:
Vermont
There isn't any place else in the country like Vermont. It's a scenic wonderland covered in green vast forests and white snow in winter months. During the summer it's an outdoor paradise. Its housing market is the most sluggish in the nation that provides little appreciation or deflation. The Vermont housing market is the type investors frown upon and residents love.
In Burlington, slightly more than 100 homes sold in the last year. In neighboring South Burlington and Rutland more homes sold, but not at anything like a frenzied pace. The big national lenders never made a market to sell mortgages in Vermont, which may be this state's saving grace. There were hardly any subprime mortgages or new creative loans to obtain. As a result, there isn't a foreclosure epidemic in Vermont at all. They've dodged the national real estate crisis all together.
Happy Spring!
-David
If you are thinking of buying, but are on the fence, I would be happy to run the numbers for you. One thing to make sure to remember when deciding whether to continue to rent is that when you have a mortgage, all of the interest is deductible at tax time. In the early years of the loan period much of the payment is in fact interest, making the savings quite large. Again, happy to explain in more detail if you would like.
Here is a little blurb from a website called HousingPredictor.com:
Vermont
There isn't any place else in the country like Vermont. It's a scenic wonderland covered in green vast forests and white snow in winter months. During the summer it's an outdoor paradise. Its housing market is the most sluggish in the nation that provides little appreciation or deflation. The Vermont housing market is the type investors frown upon and residents love.
In Burlington, slightly more than 100 homes sold in the last year. In neighboring South Burlington and Rutland more homes sold, but not at anything like a frenzied pace. The big national lenders never made a market to sell mortgages in Vermont, which may be this state's saving grace. There were hardly any subprime mortgages or new creative loans to obtain. As a result, there isn't a foreclosure epidemic in Vermont at all. They've dodged the national real estate crisis all together.
Happy Spring!
-David
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Another Vermont Real Estate update
Today a colleague sent me this article (below) which is really another ray of sun in terms of the outlook for our area, and the nation. Earlier today I was at a talk given by Mark Allen of Allen and Brooks- whose highly anticipated Real Estate outlook was released yesterday. Overall the message was that we still have a way to go to reach our coveted "balanced market". It is still a buyers market, but that will slowly change. Please do call if you have any questions!
Warm Regards,
David / Lang McLaughry Spera Real Estate
802-846-7862 direct
Real Estate Outlook: Bottom in Sight?
by Kenneth R. Harney
Signs of a cyclical turnaround for housing are on the upswing. Sales are up sharply in many of the hardest-hit markets, and prices are firming in many others.
And now, even some of the country's previously most-bearish economists and media outlets are seeing the light.
Last week, Dr. Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Economy.com, surprised analysts by announcing that "the bottom of the housing downturn is in sight for the nation."
Just days later the Wall Street Journal -- which had been among the most pessimistic of major U.S. dailies -- ran a prominent article with this headline: "For some, it's finally time to dive into the housing market."
The article focused on purchasers in Phoenix, Seattle and Connecticut who recently found that lower prices and affordable mortgage rates made ownership possible for them. They got what appear to be great deals.
The Journal quoted one Phoenix buyer who had just picked up a bargain-priced first home as saying, "six months ago, I didn't think I would ever own a home. Now I do. It's so perfect."
It's obviously good news that doom and gloom economists like Zandi and the Wall Street Journal are picking up on what's happening in local real estate markets. More important for the larger market, though, is that they are in the position to spread the word to consumers that it's now not simply a "good time to buy," it's also a safe time to buy.
Mortgage rates continue to hover near historic lows. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, thirty year fixed rates last week averaged 5.2 percent, down from 5.3 percent the week before. Fifteen year rates average a flat five percent.
But don't mistake the message here: The economy as a whole still is facing huge problems -- unemployment at 7.6 percent, banks taking billions from the government, a stock market that's still pumping out losses, household consumption down.
None of that is positive for real estate.
But here's what may be developing: Just as housing's troubles preceded the rest of the economy on the way down, there are increasing indications that housing could be out ahead on the national economic recovery.
Why? Because pent-up demand is strong, affordable financing is there for buyers with decent credit and a downpayment, and improved federal tax credit incentives make the equation even better.
Once more consumers grasp the fact that the worst is over for real estate, we just might see some very encouraging numbers in the months ahead.
Warm Regards,
David / Lang McLaughry Spera Real Estate
802-846-7862 direct
Real Estate Outlook: Bottom in Sight?
by Kenneth R. Harney
Signs of a cyclical turnaround for housing are on the upswing. Sales are up sharply in many of the hardest-hit markets, and prices are firming in many others.
And now, even some of the country's previously most-bearish economists and media outlets are seeing the light.
Last week, Dr. Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Economy.com, surprised analysts by announcing that "the bottom of the housing downturn is in sight for the nation."
Just days later the Wall Street Journal -- which had been among the most pessimistic of major U.S. dailies -- ran a prominent article with this headline: "For some, it's finally time to dive into the housing market."
The article focused on purchasers in Phoenix, Seattle and Connecticut who recently found that lower prices and affordable mortgage rates made ownership possible for them. They got what appear to be great deals.
The Journal quoted one Phoenix buyer who had just picked up a bargain-priced first home as saying, "six months ago, I didn't think I would ever own a home. Now I do. It's so perfect."
It's obviously good news that doom and gloom economists like Zandi and the Wall Street Journal are picking up on what's happening in local real estate markets. More important for the larger market, though, is that they are in the position to spread the word to consumers that it's now not simply a "good time to buy," it's also a safe time to buy.
Mortgage rates continue to hover near historic lows. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, thirty year fixed rates last week averaged 5.2 percent, down from 5.3 percent the week before. Fifteen year rates average a flat five percent.
But don't mistake the message here: The economy as a whole still is facing huge problems -- unemployment at 7.6 percent, banks taking billions from the government, a stock market that's still pumping out losses, household consumption down.
None of that is positive for real estate.
But here's what may be developing: Just as housing's troubles preceded the rest of the economy on the way down, there are increasing indications that housing could be out ahead on the national economic recovery.
Why? Because pent-up demand is strong, affordable financing is there for buyers with decent credit and a downpayment, and improved federal tax credit incentives make the equation even better.
Once more consumers grasp the fact that the worst is over for real estate, we just might see some very encouraging numbers in the months ahead.
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Our Spring Market is looking good
Spring is coming quick in Vermont Real Estate...the phone is starting to ring much more often with first time homebuyers looking to take advantage of the $8000.00 tax credit. It is a great time to jump into the market! The year over year numbers show that Chittenden County is down about 7% in terms of average sales price. Most towns show a very moderate drop in average prices and a few- such as Burlington, Winooski, Charlotte, and Richmond actually show a bit of a rise. Overall a pretty good situation when compared to the rest of the country. Luckily our forclosures are the lowest in the country, which has really helped us avoid the crash that comes when your neighbors are selling at 50% of market value! As always, please do not hesitate to call if you have questions or would like more information on anything related to Real Estate. -David
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